Illustration from The Principles of Light and Color by Edwin D. Babbitt (1878), with thanks to the Public Domain Review.

Is Precognition Real?

Skeptics eviscerated a Cornell psychologist whose published evidence said yes. A decade later, his data has stood up.

Mitch Horowitz
14 min readFeb 21, 2023

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More than ten years ago, a prominent research psychologist, Daryl J. Bem, published a paper in a respected academic journal that presented evidence for precognition. The response was swift and withering. Critics in academia and news media called Bem’s work an embarrassment; skeptics reran his trials and said they failed; one journalist argued that the clinician’s results themselves proved “science is broken.”

A decade on, however, the unthinkable has occurred. Bem’s data has stood up.

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When you say the word precognition it strikes many people as fantastical, as though we are entering crystal-ball territory. I do not believe in altering vocabulary to suit reactions (or that it does any good). But why the incredulity? We already know, and have known for generations, that linear time as we experience it is an illusion.

Einstein’s theories of relativity, and experiments that have affirmed them, establish that time slows in conditions of extreme velocity — at or approaching lightspeed — and in conditions of extreme gravity like a black hole. The individual traveling in a metaphorical spaceship at or near…

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Mitch Horowitz

"Treats esoteric ideas & movements with an even-handed intellectual studiousness"-Washington Post | PEN Award-winning historian | Censored in China